A warning signal is flashing on the charts, and market analysts are predicting that the price of Bitcoin could collapse again soon. According to technical analysis, if BTC fails to continue the uptrend, it could repeat bear market crash from past cycles, potentially dragging its price down by double-digit percentages.
Bitcoin price to repeat bear market decline in 2022?
Crypto analyst Tyrex believes that Bitcoin could be approaching a critical turning point if the current uptrend is not sustained. In his latest look at BTC prices on Xu, he compares the current market structure until the April 2022 cycle, when Bitcoin made an ATH and then crashed hard for weeks.
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Tyrex revealed that Bitcoin has fallen roughly 45% from its all-time high in 2022 before entering an extended consolidation phase that lasted nearly four months. The accompanying chart shows that during this period prices respected clear horizontal boundaries, creating a false sense of strength and stability, fundamental weakness continued to build.
This consolidation eventually led to upside down fakingwith Bitcoin price briefly breaking through resistance before reversing sharply. Unfortunately, the bounce triggered a continuation of the broader downtrend that year, resulting in another aggressive price decline that wiped out any remaining bullish confidence.
According to Tyrex, BTC’s current chart structure roughly reflects the same historical setting from 2022. Bitcoin pulled back sharply again after reaching an all-time record of over $126,000. In addition, the cryptocurrency spent roughly two months consolidating within a defined range, repeatedly stopping at resistance levels.
Tyrex warns against it Bitcoin is barely holding above $95,000which aligns with the resistance zone shown on the chart. If the price fails to recover and continues to hold close to this level, the upward move could prove to be false, potentially leading to another sharp decline—just like what happened in 2022. The red shaded area on the chart shows how far BTC could fall if the uptrend breaks, with the analyst predicting an 11.04% drop to the $86,000-$84,000 range.
Bitcoin set for March ATH and may crash
Another forecast from market expert CryptoXLarge outlines where Bitcoin could be headed over the next four months. The analyst bases the outlook on historical market behavior, suggesting that the current cycle may be repeating the highs of past cycles.
CryptoXLarge points to January 2026 as a phase of quiet accumulation with controlled price movements and subdued volatility. February is expected to bring a strong rally as momentum builds quickly and buyers push the price of BTC higher. This jump could lay the groundwork for Bitcoin reach a new all-time record about $240,000 in March.
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After this predicted peak, April is likely to be a bull trap where the price appears strong but fails to sustain the upward momentum. The forecast ends with a warning to flash in May 2026, during which prices could return to new lows.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView
