Bitcoin dominance is currently hovering around the mid-50% range, and while it has yet to show a dramatic decline, some traders are starting to watch for signs of rotation.
Data from platforms that track market share shows that Bitcoin’s dominance is slowly pushing into the mid-fifties, but projections suggesting a future decline form the basis of new discussions in the XRP community. One such projection comes from an XRP enthusiast known as DROP, who shared a chart that illustrates the sharp decline in Bitcoin’s dominance that he believes will unlock XRP’s next big run to double digits.
Bitcoin Dominance Projection Shows Breakdown Zone
The chart shared by DROP outlines a scenario where Bitcoin dominance moves sideways for a while before slipping into the low 40% region. This predicted decline is highlighted by a broad purple zone that extends to 2026. A major rotation into altcoins, especially XRP, is expected to begin once dominance loses its current structure.
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While Bitcoin’s dominance has dropped quite a bit from the 60% range it was circulating in October, it pretty much held even when it fell as low as $81,000 on November 21st.
The last time Bitcoin dominance was only 40% was in early 2023. The idea behind the projection is not a new decline in dominance it’s already started but that the dominance is in a region where it could collapse if market conditions change. According to DROP, this is the moment that will cement the beginning of XRP’s strongest move in the cycle. From here, the price of XRP goes into double digits.
Double-digit XRP depends on the transition of the crypto market
XRP has often been one of the few assets that has shown the ability to outperform Bitcoin, especially when traders rotate into large-cap tokens that have lagged behind Bitcoin during the early part of the cycle.
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This pattern was seen in both January and July 2025. The move from January 2025 pushed XRP above $3 for the first time since 2018, and relocation in July 2025 saw the price of XRP record a new all-time high.
The DROP projection positions XRP as one of the likely gainers once market share begins to be redistributed away from Bitcoin. That hasn’t happened yet, and current dominance readings reflect stability, not collapse. The projection is focused on what could happen when the market enters the next phase of the altcoin rotation.
If dominance ends up falling towards the low 40% range, then the conditions could be right for XRP to break above $10. These conditions include the participation of citizens and institutions, greater liquidity of large investors and significant inflows into XRP ETFs keep such progress in double digits.
Featured image from Getty Images, chart from Tradingview.com
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